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14.04.2025|HWWI-Study

Hamburg Airport – Assessing Its Regional Economic Role

The aim of the study is to systematically illustrate the regional economic significance of Hamburg Airport. The focus is on the multiplier effects, which demonstrate the close sectoral interconnection between the airport and the Hamburg metropolitan region. Each euro of direct value added generated at the airport is associated with €2.3 in total value added... Read more

The aim of the study is to systematically illustrate the regional economic significance of Hamburg Airport. The focus is on the multiplier effects, which demonstrate the close sectoral interconnection between the airport and the Hamburg metropolitan region. Each euro of direct value added generated at the airport is associated with €2.3 in total value added within the metropolitan area. In addition, each job at the airport secures at least two jobs in the region. The analysis shows that the airport is a key economic driver beyond its role in air transport.

 

Hamburg Airport – Assessing Its Regional Economic Role
Melting Opportunities: Technological Change and Labor Market Perspectives
15.04.2025|New Working Paper

Melting Opportunities: Technological Change and Labor Market Perspectives

This paper analyzes the impact of a technological shock on the labor market based on the spread of electric refrigerators in American households in the 1930s. This shock caused many ice dealers to go out of business or change jobs. The new jobs were often... Read more

This paper analyzes the impact of a technological shock on the labor market based on the spread of electric refrigerators in American households in the 1930s. This shock caused many ice dealers to go out of business or change jobs. The new jobs were often paid up to 12% less. The technological shock had intergenerational effects. Younger sons in particular had to make a compromise between participation in the workforce and school attendance, which led to a decline in school attendance rates.

Moment Matching for Bayesian Inference in the New–Keynesian Baseline Model
14.04.2025|New HWWI-Working Paper

Moment Matching for Bayesian Inference in the New–Keynesian Baseline Model

In applied macroeconomics, identification problems originate from the poorly defined mapping between a structural model and reduced-form parameters. Prominent estimation approaches like the Bayesian one, however, are characterized by a flat likelihood and/or a posterior distribution driven mainly by prior information. To alleviate identification issues,... Read more

In applied macroeconomics, identification problems originate from the poorly defined mapping between a structural model and reduced-form parameters. Prominent estimation approaches like the Bayesian one, however, are characterized by a flat likelihood and/or a posterior distribution driven mainly by prior information. To alleviate identification issues, we apply the approximate Bayesian computation method combined with the choice of specific moment conditions to a standard DSGE model. This estimation approach not only allows for circumventing high dimensional likelihood functions but also avoids parameter identification problems given the use of a bootstrap method.

The Effects of Establishing a Hydrogen Industry in Northern Germany
10.04.2025|New HWWI-Working Paper

The Effects of Establishing a Hydrogen Industry in Northern Germany

The chemical element hydrogen used as an energy source can play an important role in reaching this goal of a carbon-dioxide-free industrial production process until 2045. In our paper we investigate the effects of a total switch toward hydrogen used in production. The simulation results... Read more

The chemical element hydrogen used as an energy source can play an important role in reaching this goal of a carbon-dioxide-free industrial production process until 2045. In our paper we investigate the effects of a total switch toward hydrogen used in production. The simulation results based on the CGE framework indicate that such a cost-intensive procedure can lead to a decline in the output of heavy   industries such as chemical, steel, and copper. Reverse effects are obtained in the case of further deregulation, which has the potential to increase the efficiency of an established hydrogen core network. This observation emphasizes the need to accompany the transformation process by maintaining low-level regulation.

FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Award
07.04.2025|Award for best economic forecast

FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Award

Our economic forecasting expert, Jörg Hinze, was honored with the FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards. This prize is awarded annually to the most accurate economic forecasters for the six most important macroeconomic indicators (GDP, budget balance, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate and current account balance) in... Read more

Our economic forecasting expert, Jörg Hinze, was honored with the FocusEconomics Analyst Forecast Awards. This prize is awarded annually to the most accurate economic forecasters for the six most important macroeconomic indicators (GDP, budget balance, inflation, interest rate, exchange rate and current account balance) in more than 100 countries and for 27 commodities.

Unveiling the impact of Green Energy on Green Productivity
28.03.2025|New publication in Economic Analysis and Policy

Unveiling the impact of Green Energy on Green Productivity

The transition toward sustainable economic growth has received increasing attention due to the urgency of the climate crisis and the need to reduce resource dependency. This study examines the relationship between green energy production and green total factor productivity (GTFP), a metric that incorporates environmental... Read more

The transition toward sustainable economic growth has received increasing attention due to the urgency of the climate crisis and the need to reduce resource dependency. This study examines the relationship between green energy production and green total factor productivity (GTFP), a metric that incorporates environmental factors into traditional productivity measures. Using a panel dataset of 221 European NUTS2 regions across 10 sectors from 2009 to 2021, we estimate GTFP through the Malmquist–Luenberger productivity index. Our analysis focuses on green energy production—particularly hydrogen energy—and its potential impact on GTFP by reducing emissions and optimizing resource use. The results indicate a positive relationship between green energy production and GTFP. Moreover, the interaction between green and hydrogen energy further enhances GTFP, suggesting spillover effects between these technologies.

Natural catastrophes and insurance in a developing economy: new theoretical and empirical evidence
20.03.2025|New Publication in Environment and Development Economics

Natural catastrophes and insurance in a developing economy: new theoretical and empirical evidence

We analyse the effect of natural catastrophes on insurance demand in a developing economy and the role of insurance regulation in this relationship. The theoretical results indicate that a loss experience likely has a less positive effect on demand in developing economies than in developed... Read more

We analyse the effect of natural catastrophes on insurance demand in a developing economy and the role of insurance regulation in this relationship. The theoretical results indicate that a loss experience likely has a less positive effect on demand in developing economies than in developed economies. The empirical analysis confirms that natural catastrophes decreased insurance demand of affected households in Vietnam. The enhancement of regulation increased insurance demand  and reversed the effect of natural catastrophes on demand.

Mask wars: Sourcing a critical medical product from China in times of COVID-19
19.03.2025|New Publication in Journal of International Economics

Mask wars: Sourcing a critical medical product from China in times of COVID-19

The COVID-19 pandemic spiked global demand for medical goods, with China as a key supplier. This paper explores the political factors that facilitated access to face masks, a vital product early in the pandemic. Using a triple difference-in-differences event study, we compare face mask exports... Read more

The COVID-19 pandemic spiked global demand for medical goods, with China as a key supplier. This paper explores the political factors that facilitated access to face masks, a vital product early in the pandemic. Using a triple difference-in-differences event study, we compare face mask exports with similar products. Our findings show that face mask prices surged, and China’s exports rose. Political ties, especially with Chinese provinces, significantly boosted exports, while sister city relationships helped mitigate early price increases.

New colleague in the Business Cycle & Growth department
05.03.2025|New colleague

New colleague in the Business Cycle & Growth department

We are pleased to welcome Ms. Paula Schwamb as a new colleague at the HWWI. She recently completed her master’s degree at the University of Bonn and will support the research department Business Cycle & Growth. A very warm welcome.

We are pleased to welcome Ms. Paula Schwamb as a new colleague at the HWWI. She recently completed her master’s degree at the University of Bonn and will support the research department Business Cycle & Growth. A very warm welcome.

Global surge: exploring cryptocurrency adoption with evidence from spatial models
04.03.2025|new publication in Financial Innovation

Global surge: exploring cryptocurrency adoption with evidence from spatial models

Pricing dynamics and volatility are accelerating the adoption of global cryptocurrency. Despite challenges, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are gaining widespread acceptance, particularly in countries with unbanked populations, the lack of bank controls, and inflation. This study investigates the global patterns of cryptocurrency adoption using Generalized... Read more

Pricing dynamics and volatility are accelerating the adoption of global cryptocurrency. Despite challenges, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are gaining widespread acceptance, particularly in countries with unbanked populations, the lack of bank controls, and inflation. This study investigates the global patterns of cryptocurrency adoption using Generalized Linear Models and Spatial Autoregressive Models. Our findings reveal that cryptocurrency adoption is significantly influenced by economic instability, infrastructure availability, and spatial dynamics, with higher adoption rates in countries with limited access to traditional financial systems.

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On the HWWI

Hamburg World Economic Institute (HWWI) is an independent, privately financed economic research institute. In addition to the headquarters in Hamburg, the HWWI has a branch in Bremen. It is organized as a non-profit GmbH; the only shareholder is the Hamburg Chamber of Commerce. HWWI closely cooperates with Helmut Schmidt University/University of the Armed Forces Hamburg (HSU).