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11.03.2026|New HWWI-Forecast

Iran war delays recovery of the German economy

The German economy had stabilised towards the end of last year; many economic indicators developed positively. The growth opportunities for 2026 and 2027 were assessed favourably due to the fiscal spending programmes and support measures launched by the coalition government. However, with the Iran war and the resulting price shocks for oil and gas, the... Read more

The German economy had stabilised towards the end of last year; many economic indicators developed positively. The growth opportunities for 2026 and 2027 were assessed favourably due to the fiscal spending programmes and support measures launched by the coalition government. However, with the Iran war and the resulting price shocks for oil and gas, the prospects for inflation and growth - not only in Germany, but worldwide - have initially deteriorated.
Iran war delays recovery of the German economy
Simulation of the impact of US tariffs on Hamburg as a business location
06.03.2026|New HWWI-Study

Simulation of the impact of US tariffs on Hamburg as a business location

The present HWWI study uses a CGE model to analyze the short-run effects of the current U.S. tariff regime (as of Fall/Winter 2025) on Hamburg. At the aggregate level, the impacts on GDP and employment in Germany, the EU, and Hamburg are close to zero,... Read more

The present HWWI study uses a CGE model to analyze the short-run effects of the current U.S. tariff regime (as of Fall/Winter 2025) on Hamburg. At the aggregate level, the impacts on GDP and employment in Germany, the EU, and Hamburg are close to zero, while the United States is likely to enter a stagflationary environment. Sectoral developments in Hamburg, however, depend on differing price effects induced by the U.S. tariff regime.
Commodity price index down in 2025
13.02.2026|Neue Publikation

Commodity price index down in 2025

This article examines the development of the HWWI-Rohstoffpreisindex in 2025. The analysis focuses on the price dynamics of Germany’s key imported raw materials and the contributions of individual commodity groups. The overall decline of the index during 2025 was largely driven by price movements in... Read more

This article examines the development of the HWWI-Rohstoffpreisindex in 2025. The analysis focuses on the price dynamics of Germany’s key imported raw materials and the contributions of individual commodity groups. The overall decline of the index during 2025 was largely driven by price movements in energy commodities, whose prices remained consistently below the previous year’s level from March onwards and showed predominantly downward trends over the course of the year.
HWWI Commodity Price Index rises again after decline
12.02.2026|Neuer HWWI Commodity price

HWWI Commodity Price Index rises again after decline

Over the past three months, the previously observed slight downward trend in the HWWI Commodity Price Index did not continue. Following an increase of 2.1 % in November and a decline of −1.8 % in December, the index rose markedly by 5.5 % in January... Read more

Over the past three months, the previously observed slight downward trend in the HWWI Commodity Price Index did not continue. Following an increase of 2.1 % in November and a decline of −1.8 % in December, the index rose markedly by 5.5 % in January 2026. Despite this monthly increase, the index at the end of January remained around 10.5 % below the level of the corresponding month of the previous year (data status: 08.02.2026).
The economic dimension of sport in Hamburg
02.02.2026|New HWWI-Study

The economic dimension of sport in Hamburg

A new study by the HWWI confirms the enormous importance of sport for the Hanseatic city. “Sport is a powerful driving force for Hamburg,” emphasized President Prof. Norbert Aust, Senator for Sport Andy Grote, and HSB President Katharina von Kodolitsch at the presentation of the... Read more

A new study by the HWWI confirms the enormous importance of sport for the Hanseatic city. “Sport is a powerful driving force for Hamburg,” emphasized President Prof. Norbert Aust, Senator for Sport Andy Grote, and HSB President Katharina von Kodolitsch at the presentation of the study. The study shows that sport secures around 15,000 jobs and generates added value of €5.3 billion. In addition to its economic importance, it also improves quality of life, promotes health prevention, and enhances Hamburg's attractiveness as a location. Sport is therefore much more than just competition – it moves the whole city.
Farewell after 20 years
30.01.2026|News from the Institute

Farewell after 20 years

After 20 years of service, our colleague Dörte Nitt-Drießelmann is leaving us to retire. Since joining us, she has reliably accompanied the development of our institute and supported it with her many years of experience. We thank her for her trusting cooperation and her constant... Read more

After 20 years of service, our colleague Dörte Nitt-Drießelmann is leaving us to retire. Since joining us, she has reliably accompanied the development of our institute and supported it with her many years of experience. We thank her for her trusting cooperation and her constant commitment over two decades. We wish her all the best for the future and the new phase of her life, as well as good health.
New messaging system
13.01.2026|News from the Institute

New messaging system

We have modernized our messaging system for the new year and look forward to keeping you up to date on our activities. Once you have registered, you can individually select which topics and news from our institute you would like to receive in the future.

We have modernized our messaging system for the new year and look forward to keeping you up to date on our activities. Once you have registered, you can individually select which topics and news from our institute you would like to receive in the future.
2026/2027 Economic growth of 1 1/2 % possible in each case
04.12.2025|New HWWI-Forecast

2026/2027 Economic growth of 1 1/2 % possible in each case

The German economy is waiting for the economic turnaround. As in the first half of 2025 overall, real gross domestic product stagnated in the 3rd quarter. A difficult international environment and a so far only tentative implementation of reforms by the new government – overshadowed... Read more

The German economy is waiting for the economic turnaround. As in the first half of 2025 overall, real gross domestic product stagnated in the 3rd quarter. A difficult international environment and a so far only tentative implementation of reforms by the new government – overshadowed by recurring disruptions within the coalition – continued to slow down economic development.
HWWI Commodity Price Index remains stable amid slight downward movement
12.11.2025|Neuer HWWI Commodity price

HWWI Commodity Price Index remains stable amid slight downward movement

The HWWI Commodity Price Index has shown a largely stable development so far in 2025, with slight downward tendencies observed in the third quarter.

The HWWI Commodity Price Index has shown a largely stable development so far in 2025, with slight downward tendencies observed in the third quarter.
Workshop: Economics and Politics of Irregular Migration
09.10.2025|HWWI-Neuigkeit

Workshop: Economics and Politics of Irregular Migration

On October 9 and 10, 2025, researchers from the fields of economics and political science met at HWWI to discuss the causes and effects of (irregular) migration between Africa and Europe. The keynote speech was given by Professor Catia Batista, Ph.D., one of the leading... Read more

On October 9 and 10, 2025, researchers from the fields of economics and political science met at HWWI to discuss the causes and effects of (irregular) migration between Africa and Europe. The keynote speech was given by Professor Catia Batista, Ph.D., one of the leading researchers in the field of irregular migration, from the Nova School of Business and Economics. The workshop was organized by Dr. Sebastian Leue in collaboration with Prof. Dr. Sarah Langlotz (University of Göttingen) and Paul Michel (University of Cologne).
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On the HWWI

Hamburg World Economic Institute (HWWI) is an independent, privately financed economic research institute. In addition to the headquarters in Hamburg, the HWWI has a branch in Bremen. It is organized as a non-profit GmbH; the only shareholder is the Hamburg Chamber of Commerce. HWWI closely cooperates with Helmut Schmidt University/University of the Armed Forces Hamburg (HSU).