Newsroom
In the newsroom we provide information about our events. Here, we also publish our press releases and and give an overview where our research results have been mentioned in the media. You also have the option here to sign up for our automatic notification services.
Events
Pressemitteilungen
New HWWI Business Cycle Forecast
With the quarrels in the traffic light coalition and its eventual end, uncertainties have increased further in the second half of 2024. Private consumers and above all investors continue to hold back. Following the Federal Statistical Office’s revisions of its first estimates for real gross domestic product (GDP) in the 2nd and 3rd quarters by a total of 0.3 percentage points downwards, the GDP level for 2024 has also declined, so that the Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI) has lowered its growth forecast for 2024 from +0.2% to -0.2%.
HWWI-Commodity Price Index Rises in October Following Several Months of Declines
The HWWI-Commodity Price Index continued its downward trend from July in August and September, falling by -0.9% in August and -3.0% in September. In October, however, the index rose by 4.1% to 180.8 and is therefore -6.5% below the level of the same month last year (as of 15 November 2024).
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