The Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI) expects a further slowdown in the rise in consumer prices over the remainder of 2023 and in 2024. As a result, the cycle of interest rate hikes could come to an end and, in view of significant wage increases, real purchasing power and private consumption could start to strengthen. Against this backdrop, the German economy is expected to stabilize and gradually recover. For 2023, the HWWI continues to expect negative economic growth of -½% due to the depressed level in the first half of the year. In 2024, the economy is likely to grow slightly again at 1%.

The Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI) has updated its forecast for economic development in Germany. So far, the German economy has come through the crises better than feared. Although the German economy has slipped into a recession in the winter half-year following slight growth until the fall of 2022, this is likely to be only moderate and a moderate recovery is expected from early summer.